NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
0-0 | Road
108
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
0-0 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS
0%
KNICKS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.4
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.4 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
NY By 1-7 points
11.5%
NY By 8-14 points
3.7%
BOS By 1-7 points
23.8%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
104.98
NEW YORK
Boston
114.4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Boston
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
BOS @ NY
106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026
NY @ BOS
111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025
NY @ BOS
117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025
BOS @ NY
95 - 105
May 16, 2025
BOS @ NY
81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+14.8% more
Boston: 22.6
vs
New York: 19.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.2%
Boston: 84.3%
vs
New York: 74.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Boston: 48.4%
vs
New York: 44.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Boston: 40.0%
vs
New York: 36.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
105.0
108
BOS Score
114.4
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 36.4
25.0 / 45.9
Assists
22.6 / 19.7
18.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.8 / 5.5
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 44.7
35.1 / 42.5
Free Throw %
84.3 / 74.1
84.6 / 54.8
Rebounding
42.4 / 42.1
59.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.7
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 14.1
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NY
BOS
NY
ML
57%
61-46
61%
114-72
53%
47-41
56%
57-45
ATS
59%
61-43-3
67%
124-62
53%
47-41
56%
57-45
TTL
56%
60-47
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0
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