Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Celtics NY @ BOS

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

1-0  |  Road

91
FINAL
Wed, May 7 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

0-1  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
CELTICS
0%
KNICKS --
CELTICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.3 points (Boston)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 CelticsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

15.2%

Celtics Cover

84.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -10.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

NY By 1-7 points

10.3%

NY By 8-14 points

3.1%

BOS By 1-7 points

22.6%

BOS By 8-14 points

27.3%

AI Model Projected Score
103.19
NEW YORK
113.47
BOSTON
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 216.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 BOS @ NY 106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026 NY @ BOS 111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025 NY @ BOS 117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025 BOS @ NY 95 - 105
May 16, 2025 BOS @ NY 81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +16.7%
Boston: 84.4% vs New York: 67.7%
Blocks (L5) +12.5% more
Boston: 4.9 vs New York: 4.3
Assists (L5) +8.3% more
Boston: 21.1 vs New York: 19.5
Steals (L5) +28.5% more
New York: 8.5 vs Boston: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 103.2 91
BOS Score 113.5 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 39.6 25.0 / 29.0
Assists 21.1 / 19.5 17.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.9 / 4.3 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 44.0 36.2 / 43.0
Free Throw % 84.4 / 67.7 80.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 47.9 / 44.4 51.0 / 46.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.5 9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 13.7 17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NY
BOS
NY
ML
57% 61-46
61% 114-72
53% 47-41
56% 57-45
ATS
59% 61-43-3
67% 124-62
53% 47-41
56% 57-45
TTL
56% 60-47
72% 133-53
100% 88-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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