MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
23-10-6 | Road
5
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
17-8-11 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.01 | 0.875 | -- |
| Carter Hart | None-None | 11.17 | 0.583 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01 Ldr
GAA
11.17
0.875 Ldr
Save %
0.583
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
WILD
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
MIN By 1 goal
12.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+11.5% more
Vegas: 5.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.5
Power Play % (L5)
+9.0%
Vegas: 30.9%
vs
Minnesota: 21.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.2% more
Vegas: 28.6
vs
Minnesota: 26.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.0%
Vegas: 48.9%
vs
Minnesota: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.0
5
VGK Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 17.3
13.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
48.9 / 44.0
47.1 / 52.9
Hits
21.0 / 20.5
30.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
3087.0 / 2185.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 26.4
16.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.5
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
MIN
VGK
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Juszczyk Wins Appeal, Padres Stay Alive, Messi Bids Farewell in …
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…