PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
18-13 | Road
115
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
7-23 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
WIZARDS
0%
SUNS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
PHX By 1-7 points
4.0%
PHX By 8-14 points
0.8%
WSH By 1-7 points
13.7%
WSH By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
109
PHOENIX
Washington
125
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Phoenix
107
PHOENIX
Washington
118
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wizards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wizards (+10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Wizards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.0
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
WSH @ PHX
93 - 112
Dec 29, 2025
PHX @ WSH
115 - 101
Jan 25, 2025
WSH @ PHX
109 - 119
Jan 16, 2025
PHX @ WSH
130 - 123
Feb 4, 2024
PHX @ WSH
140 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+94.5% more
Washington: 8.1
vs
Phoenix: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Washington: 84.3%
vs
Phoenix: 76.4%
Steals (L5)
+26.5% more
Phoenix: 9.5
vs
Washington: 7.0
Turnovers (L5)
+16.6% more
Phoenix: 16.3
vs
Washington: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
109.0
115
WSH Score
125.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 35.1
41.0 / 43.0
Assists
25.2 / 26.5
21.0 / 25.0
Blocks
8.1 / 4.2
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 48.2
46.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
84.3 / 76.4
76.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
49.3 / 47.1
43.0 / 51.0
Steals
7.0 / 9.5
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 16.3
16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
PHX
WSH
PHX
ML
70%
112-49
57%
60-45
47%
39-44
51%
45-43
ATS
69%
111-49-1
58%
59-43-3
47%
39-44
51%
45-43
TTL
74%
119-41-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Suns Preseason Opener: Starters Shine, Bench Battles Emerge in L…
Anthony Davis's Max Contract Ambitions Could Shape Wizards' Futu…