Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Raptors ORL @ TOR

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

18-14  |  Road

106
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

19-14  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
📊
RAPTORS
100%
MAGIC --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Orlando)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

90.3%

Raptors Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

ORL By 1-7 points

18.6%

ORL By 8-14 points

26.8%

TOR By 1-7 points

6.8%

TOR By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
114
ORLANDO
101
TORONTO
Simulated Score
107
ORLANDO
114
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raptors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Magic (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Raptors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u220.5 Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim u220.5 Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 29, 2026 ORL @ TOR 87 - 139
Jan 30, 2026 TOR @ ORL 120 - 130
Dec 29, 2025 ORL @ TOR 106 - 107
Mar 4, 2025 TOR @ ORL 114 - 113
Mar 2, 2025 TOR @ ORL 104 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.0% more
Toronto: 14.5 vs Orlando: 10.5
Assists (L5) +15.7% more
Toronto: 31.6 vs Orlando: 27.3
Steals (L5) +15.7% more
Toronto: 9.2 vs Orlando: 8.0
Rebounding (L5) +10.8% more
Toronto: 45.0 vs Orlando: 40.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 114.0 106
TOR Score 101.0 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 33.9 24.0 / 28.0
Assists 31.6 / 27.3 22.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.0 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 46.1 39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 86.2 / 76.5 72.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 45.0 / 40.6 58.0 / 52.0
Steals 9.2 / 8.0 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 10.5 6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
ORL
TOR
ORL
ML
55% 57-47
61% 65-42
55% 48-39
56% 51-40
ATS
61% 62-40-2
64% 68-38-1
55% 48-39
56% 51-40
TTL
60% 62-42
57% 61-46
100% 87-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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