LIPSCOMB
BISONSLIP
7-5 | Road
62
CINCINNATI
BEARCATSCIN
7-5 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
100%
BEARCATS
0%
BISONS
--
BEARCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Cincinnati)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)
LIP By 1-7 points
13.7%
LIP By 8-14 points
4.8%
CIN By 1-7 points
25.3%
CIN By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Lipscomb
83
LIPSCOMB
Cincinnati
91
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
Lipscomb
70
LIPSCOMB
Cincinnati
78
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bearcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bearcats (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Bearcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
LIP @ CIN
62 - 89
Dec 2, 2020
LIP @ CIN
55 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.2% more
Cincinnati: 4.8
vs
Lipscomb: 3.3
Assists (L5)
+34.0% more
Lipscomb: 24.5
vs
Cincinnati: 16.2
Steals (L5)
+30.5% more
Lipscomb: 8.9
vs
Cincinnati: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.5%
Lipscomb: 76.9%
vs
Cincinnati: 66.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIP Score
83.0
62
CIN Score
91.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 41.1
38.0 / 32.0
Assists
16.2 / 24.5
21.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.3
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.8 / 51.3
48.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 76.9
67.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 37.5
45.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.2 / 8.9
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.1
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
CIN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
CIN
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.9
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
LIP
CIN
LIP
ML
67%
22-11
71%
22-9
74%
23-8
66%
19-10
ATS
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
74%
23-8
66%
19-10
TTL
67%
22-11
58%
18-13
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
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