Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Big Green @ Gators DART @ FLA

DARTMOUTH

BIG GREENDART

5-6  |  Road

72
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 6:00 PM ET
Stephen C. O'Connell Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

GATORSFLA

8-4  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
📊
GATORS
0%
BIG GREEN --
GATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Florida)
Big GreenDART (-3.5) 0 GatorsFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Big Green Cover

5.5%

Gators Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

DART By 1-7 points

4.0%

DART By 8-14 points

0.8%

FLA By 1-7 points

13.7%

FLA By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
78
DARTMOUTH
94
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
62
DARTMOUTH
85
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gators Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gators (+35.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Gators (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o159.0 Win
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim u159.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 DART @ FLA 72 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.9% more
Florida: 5.3 vs Dartmouth: 3.4
Steals (L5) +42.1% more
Florida: 6.2 vs Dartmouth: 4.4
Rebounding (L5) +14.4% more
Florida: 45.1 vs Dartmouth: 39.4
Assists (L5) +12.4% more
Florida: 15.3 vs Dartmouth: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DART Score 78.0 72
FLA Score 94.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 39.6 28.0 / 44.0
Assists 15.3 / 13.6 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 5.3 / 3.4 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 50.6 / 42.7 49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 67.2 61.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 45.1 / 39.4 60.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.2 / 4.4 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 16.0 12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0 (40.7%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.5
FLA Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0 (44.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.5
FLA Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.5
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
DART
FLA
DART
ML
77% 27-8
62% 16-10
63% 22-13
50% 13-13
ATS
69% 24-11
65% 17-9
63% 22-13
50% 13-13
TTL
63% 22-13
88% 23-3
100% 35-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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