MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
13-19 | Road
123
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
11-20 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
HORNETS
100%
BUCKS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
16.9%
MIL By 8-14 points
26.2%
CHA By 1-7 points
5.8%
CHA By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
117
MILWAUKEE
Charlotte
103
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
108
MILWAUKEE
Charlotte
121
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 2, 2026
CHA @ MIL
121 - 122
Dec 29, 2025
MIL @ CHA
123 - 113
Nov 14, 2025
CHA @ MIL
134 - 147
Nov 12, 2025
MIL @ CHA
100 - 111
Feb 5, 2025
MIL @ CHA
112 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.9% more
Milwaukee: 9.6
vs
Charlotte: 6.1
Turnovers (L5)
+10.3% more
Milwaukee: 16.2
vs
Charlotte: 14.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
Milwaukee: 77.6%
vs
Charlotte: 75.0%
Blocks (L5)
+64.9% more
Charlotte: 5.4
vs
Milwaukee: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
117.0
123
CHA Score
103.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.9 / 35.1
37.0 / 47.0
Assists
27.9 / 21.9
28.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.3
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 45.9
43.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 77.6
80.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
48.1 / 46.0
47.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.1 / 9.6
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 16.2
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
MIL
CHA
MIL
ML
61%
60-39
64%
61-35
48%
40-44
60%
49-32
ATS
60%
59-40
68%
65-31
48%
40-44
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
57-42
55%
53-43
100%
84-0
100%
81-0
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