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HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

5-7  |  Road

61
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Hilton Coliseum
View Odds Details →

IOWA STATE

CYCLONESISU

12-0  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
CYCLONES
0%
HUSKIES --
CYCLONES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Iowa State)
HuskiesHCU (-3.5) 0 CyclonesISU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

1.4%

Cyclones Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ISU -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)

HCU By 1-7 points

1.1%

HCU By 8-14 points

0.1%

ISU By 1-7 points

5.8%

ISU By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
56
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
78
IOWA STATE
Simulated Score
52
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
85
IOWA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cyclones Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cyclones Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cyclones (+35.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Cyclones (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 HCU @ ISU 61 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +87.4% more
Iowa State: 8.6 vs Houston Christian: 4.6
Assists (L5) +35.0% more
Iowa State: 19.6 vs Houston Christian: 14.5
Blocks (L5) +20.6% more
Iowa State: 3.8 vs Houston Christian: 3.2
Rebounding (L5) +18.0% more
Iowa State: 37.5 vs Houston Christian: 31.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HCU Score 56.0 61
ISU Score 78.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.7 / 31.6 32.0 / 29.0
Assists 19.6 / 14.5 20.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.2 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 52.0 / 46.5 50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 62.6 / 69.1 71.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 31.8 44.0 / 18.0
Steals 8.6 / 4.6 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 13.0 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
ISU Advantage
29-8-0 (78.4%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
ISU Advantage
22-14-1 (61.1%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ISU
HCU
ISU
HCU
ML
57% 21-16
68% 21-10
76% 26-8
81% 25-6
ATS
62% 23-14
58% 18-13
76% 26-8
81% 26-6
TTL
54% 20-17
68% 21-10
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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