Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Phoenix NE @ ELON

NORTHEASTERN

HUSKIESNE

4-7  |  Road

91
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Schar Center
View Odds Details →

ELON

PHOENIXELON

8-5  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
PHOENIX
100%
HUSKIES --
PHOENIX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Northeastern)
HuskiesNE (-3.5) 0 PhoenixELON (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

81.6%

Phoenix Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NE -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)

NE By 1-7 points

24.3%

NE By 8-14 points

26.8%

ELON By 1-7 points

12.2%

ELON By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
80
NORTHEASTERN
71
ELON
Simulated Score
71
NORTHEASTERN
75
ELON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Huskies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Phoenix Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Huskies (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Phoenix (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 15, 2026 ELON @ NE 78 - 85
Dec 29, 2025 NE @ ELON 91 - 103
Feb 1, 2025 NE @ ELON 60 - 71
Feb 22, 2024 ELON @ NE 58 - 61
Jan 20, 2024 NE @ ELON 84 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.6% more
Northeastern: 4.5 vs Elon: 3.2
Assists (L5) +15.1% more
Northeastern: 16.1 vs Elon: 13.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Northeastern: 39.2% vs Elon: 33.4%
Rebounding (L5) +11.4% more
Elon: 34.7 vs Northeastern: 31.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NE Score 80.0 91
ELON Score 71.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 39.2 44.0 / 67.0
Assists 13.7 / 16.1 21.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.5 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 47.1 62.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 70.5 76.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 31.2 32.0 / 21.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.9 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 13.4 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
ELON Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
ELON Advantage
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +7.6
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ELON
NE
ELON
NE
ML
61% 19-12
70% 21-9
71% 22-9
60% 18-12
ATS
55% 17-14
63% 19-11
71% 22-9
60% 18-12
TTL
52% 16-15
53% 16-14
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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