Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Jaguars MOBIL @ USA

MOBILE

RAMSMOBIL

0-0  |  Road

52
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Mitchell Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH ALABAMA

JAGUARSUSA

9-4  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
JAGUARS
100%
RAMS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
MOBILE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Mobile)
RamsMOBIL (-3.5) 0 JaguarsUSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

99.9%

Jaguars Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MOBIL -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MOBIL)

MOBIL By 1-7 points

0.6%

MOBIL By 8-14 points

3.3%

USA By 1-7 points

0.1%

USA By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
82
MOBILE
50
SOUTH ALABAMA
Simulated Score
57
MOBILE
88
SOUTH ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-14.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Jaguars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u171.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u171.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 MOBIL @ USA 52 - 85
Dec 30, 2024 MOBIL @ USA 41 - 106
Nov 6, 2023 MOBIL @ USA 83 - 74
Nov 9, 2022 MOBIL @ USA 59 - 97
Nov 20, 2021 MOBIL @ USA 45 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +31.0% more
Mobile: 17.2 vs South Alabama: 11.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Mobile: 32.8% vs South Alabama: 27.1%
Steals (L5) +112.9% more
South Alabama: 9.9 vs Mobile: 4.6
Blocks (L5) +74.3% more
South Alabama: 4.2 vs Mobile: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MOBIL Score 82.0 52
USA Score 50.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.1 / 32.8 36.0 / 27.0
Assists 8.7 / 9.2 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.4 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 39.2 49.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 69.1 / 51.1 75.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 31.7 44.0 / 33.0
Steals 9.9 / 4.6 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 17.2 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MOBIL
--
USA Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MOBIL
--
USA Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MOBIL
--
USA
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USA
MOBIL
USA
MOBIL
ML
47% 15-17
0% 0-1
57% 17-13
100% 1-0
ATS
53% 17-15
0% 0-1
57% 17-13
100% 1-0
TTL
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
100% 30-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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