Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Grizzlies @ Raiders OAK @ WRST

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

6-7  |  Road

73
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Nutter Center
View Odds Details →

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

6-7  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
RAIDERS
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Oakland)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

75.8%

Raiders Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OAK -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

OAK By 1-7 points

26.2%

OAK By 8-14 points

25.3%

WRST By 1-7 points

15.3%

WRST By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
79
OAKLAND
72
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
75
OAKLAND
78
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Grizzlies (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 11, 2026 WRST @ OAK 94 - 84
Dec 29, 2025 OAK @ WRST 73 - 88
Jan 9, 2025 OAK @ WRST 62 - 66
Dec 5, 2024 WRST @ OAK 64 - 66
Feb 25, 2024 WRST @ OAK 96 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.4% more
Oakland: 16.8 vs Wright State: 12.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.9%
Oakland: 36.9% vs Wright State: 27.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +8.4%
Oakland: 76.8% vs Wright State: 68.5%
Blocks (L5) +67.6% more
Wright State: 4.8 vs Oakland: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 79.0 73
WRST Score 72.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.1 / 36.9 56.0 / 24.0
Assists 12.7 / 16.8 16.0 / 5.0
Blocks 4.8 / 2.9 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 46.0 56.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 68.5 / 76.8 77.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 33.2 34.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.2 / 7.5 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 11.3 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
OAK
WRST
OAK
ML
37% 13-22
62% 20-12
63% 22-13
59% 19-13
ATS
46% 16-19
50% 16-16
63% 22-13
59% 19-13
TTL
63% 22-13
62% 20-12
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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