Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Utes @ Huskies UTAH @ WASH

UTAH

UTESUTAH

8-4  |  Road

65
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 11:00 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

8-4  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
UTES --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Washington)
UtesUTAH (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utes Cover

5.5%

Huskies Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

UTAH By 1-7 points

4.0%

UTAH By 8-14 points

0.8%

WASH By 1-7 points

13.7%

WASH By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
86
UTAH
102
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
72
UTAH
78
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (-11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 UTAH @ WASH 65 - 74
Jan 27, 2024 UTAH @ WASH 73 - 98
Dec 31, 2023 WASH @ UTAH 90 - 95
Jan 21, 2023 WASH @ UTAH 61 - 86
Mar 9, 2022 UTAH @ WASH 70 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +34.2% more
Washington: 43.1 vs Utah: 32.1
Steals (L5) +21.8% more
Washington: 7.7 vs Utah: 6.3
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Washington: 79.2% vs Utah: 73.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.2%
Utah: 41.8% vs Washington: 26.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 86.0 65
WASH Score 102.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.5 / 41.8 20.0 / 29.0
Assists 14.7 / 16.5 13.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.9 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 53.1 51.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 73.6 85.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 43.1 / 32.1 32.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.7 / 6.3 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 11.4 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
WASH Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
UTAH
WASH
UTAH
ML
45% 15-18
56% 18-14
66% 21-11
67% 20-10
ATS
48% 16-17
56% 18-14
66% 21-11
67% 20-10
TTL
70% 23-10
41% 13-19
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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