Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Delta Devils @ Sooners MVSU @ OU

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

1-12  |  Road

69
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Lloyd Noble Center
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

9-3  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
SOONERS
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
SOONERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Oklahoma)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 SoonersOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

0.0%

Sooners Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

MVSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

MVSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

OU By 1-7 points

0.5%

OU By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
51
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
84
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
47
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
88
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sooners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sooners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sooners (+44.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Sooners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 MVSU @ OU 69 - 93
Nov 10, 2023 MVSU @ OU 43 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +74.1% more
Oklahoma: 18.9 vs Mississippi Valley State: 10.9
Rebounding (L5) +40.0% more
Oklahoma: 40.5 vs Mississippi Valley State: 28.9
Blocks (L5) +22.1% more
Oklahoma: 3.8 vs Mississippi Valley State: 3.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +18.6%
Oklahoma: 38.2% vs Mississippi Valley State: 19.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 51.0 69
OU Score 84.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.2 / 19.6 44.0 / 50.0
Assists 18.9 / 10.9 19.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.1 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 52.9 / 38.2 58.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 67.9 / 78.1 76.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 28.9 33.0 / 21.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.1 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 17.5 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
OU Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
OU
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
MVSU
OU
MVSU
ML
78% 28-8
91% 30-3
59% 20-14
75% 18-6
ATS
72% 26-10
82% 27-6
59% 20-14
75% 18-6
TTL
75% 27-9
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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