Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Braves @ Rebels ALCN @ MISS

ALCORN STATE

BRAVESALCN

1-10  |  Road

43
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 8:00 PM ET
The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
View Odds Details →

OLE MISS

REBELSMISS

7-5  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
📊
REBELS
0%
BRAVES --
REBELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Ole Miss)
BravesALCN (-3.5) 0 RebelsMISS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

0.0%

Rebels Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MISS -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)

ALCN By 1-7 points

0.0%

ALCN By 8-14 points

0.0%

MISS By 1-7 points

0.1%

MISS By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
65
ALCORN STATE
103
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
62
ALCORN STATE
88
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rebels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rebels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rebels (-28.5) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim Rebels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 ALCN @ MISS 43 - 79
Nov 7, 2022 ALCN @ MISS 58 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +29.4% more
Ole Miss: 12.5 vs Alcorn State: 9.7
Rebounding (L5) +13.3% more
Ole Miss: 31.4 vs Alcorn State: 27.8
Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Ole Miss: 44.7% vs Alcorn State: 39.8%
Turnovers (L5) +32.1% more
Alcorn State: 17.7 vs Ole Miss: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score 65.0 43
MISS Score 103.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 34.8 32.0 / 24.0
Assists 12.5 / 9.7 18.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.5 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 39.8 47.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 69.5 / 69.1 88.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 27.8 53.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.6 / 9.1 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 17.7 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN Advantage
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
ALCN
MISS
ALCN
ML
48% 16-17
66% 21-11
52% 17-16
75% 18-6
ATS
61% 20-13
68% 21-10-1
52% 17-16
75% 18-6
TTL
64% 21-12
47% 15-17
100% 33-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 6 hours ago
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
observer_reporter 1 day, 23 hours ago
Alabama's Keelon Russell Silences Doubters with Explosive Perfor…
si 5 days ago
Kentucky Appeals Court Ruling Shakes Up Eligibility for Mark Mit…
cbssports 6 days ago
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago