Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Wolverines MCN @ MICH

MCNEESE

COWBOYSMCN

10-2  |  Road

71
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Crisler Center
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

11-0  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
COWBOYS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Michigan)
CowboysMCN (-3.5) 0 WolverinesMICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

38.2%

Wolverines Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)

MCN By 1-7 points

21.6%

MCN By 8-14 points

10.7%

MICH By 1-7 points

27.2%

MICH By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
85
MCNEESE
88
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
60
MCNEESE
82
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o160.5 Win
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 MCN @ MICH 71 - 112
Dec 29, 2023 MCN @ MICH 87 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +53.9% more
Michigan: 6.5 vs McNeese: 4.2
Assists (L5) +46.8% more
Michigan: 23.8 vs McNeese: 16.2
Rebounding (L5) +16.4% more
Michigan: 40.1 vs McNeese: 34.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
Michigan: 45.9% vs McNeese: 37.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MCN Score 85.0 71
MICH Score 88.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 45.9 / 37.2 30.0 / 24.0
Assists 23.8 / 16.2 21.0 / 6.0
Blocks 6.5 / 4.2 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 55.0 / 52.8 59.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 70.6 / 76.1 69.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 40.1 / 34.5 55.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.9 / 10.2 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.8 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN
28-6-0 (82.4%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
MICH Advantage
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.6
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
MCN
MICH
MCN
ML
78% 31-9
67% 22-11
63% 24-14
88% 28-4
ATS
78% 31-9
76% 25-8
63% 24-14
88% 28-4
TTL
57% 23-17
42% 14-19
100% 38-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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