DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
5-7 | Road
73
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
8-5 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
TITANS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DETM -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
DETM By 1-7 points
5.8%
DETM By 8-14 points
15.3%
YSU By 1-7 points
1.1%
YSU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
86
DETROIT MERCY
Youngstown State
64
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
70
DETROIT MERCY
Youngstown State
78
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
YSU @ DETM
70 - 76
Dec 29, 2025
DETM @ YSU
73 - 68
Feb 8, 2025
YSU @ DETM
87 - 72
Dec 29, 2024
DETM @ YSU
64 - 73
Feb 28, 2024
DETM @ YSU
55 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+17.3% more
Detroit Mercy: 43.2
vs
Youngstown State: 35.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.5%
Detroit Mercy: 78.8%
vs
Youngstown State: 70.2%
Blocks (L5)
+93.2% more
Youngstown State: 4.3
vs
Detroit Mercy: 2.2
Steals (L5)
+53.4% more
Youngstown State: 8.2
vs
Detroit Mercy: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
86.0
73
YSU Score
64.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 35.8
26.0 / 47.0
Assists
14.6 / 11.5
11.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.2
4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 46.3
33.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 78.8
70.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 43.2
39.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.3
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 12.1
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
YSU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
YSU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
DETM
YSU
DETM
ML
57%
17-13
58%
18-13
67%
20-10
50%
15-15
ATS
47%
14-16
61%
19-12
67%
20-10
50%
15-15
TTL
60%
18-12
61%
19-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
