MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
8-3 | Road
58
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
9-4 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
RED FOXES
100%
BOBCATS
0%
RED FOXES
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
MRST By 1-7 points
23.0%
MRST By 8-14 points
12.2%
QUIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
QUIN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Marist
76
MARIST
Quinnipiac
78
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Marist
68
MARIST
Quinnipiac
72
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
MRST @ QUIN
77 - 75
Jan 24, 2026
QUIN @ MRST
64 - 71
Dec 29, 2025
MRST @ QUIN
58 - 64
Jan 5, 2025
QUIN @ MRST
62 - 69
Mar 7, 2024
MRST @ QUIN
64 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+207.9% more
Quinnipiac: 5.8
vs
Marist: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+29.0% more
Quinnipiac: 9.9
vs
Marist: 7.7
Assists (L5)
+21.3% more
Marist: 16.5
vs
Quinnipiac: 13.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Marist: 34.6%
vs
Quinnipiac: 30.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MRST Score
76.0
58
QUIN Score
78.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 34.6
33.0 / 19.0
Assists
13.0 / 16.5
7.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.8 / 1.9
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 44.9
36.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 74.3
65.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 36.6
43.0 / 37.0
Steals
9.9 / 7.7
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 10.4
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
QUIN
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRST
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
MRST
QUIN
MRST
ML
66%
21-11
55%
17-14
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
ATS
59%
19-13
74%
23-8
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
TTL
62%
20-12
52%
16-15
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
