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KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

10-2  |  Road

60
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Mackey Arena
View Odds Details →

PURDUE

BOILERMAKERSPUR

11-1  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
📊
BOILERMAKERS
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
BOILERMAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Purdue)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 BoilermakersPUR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

0.0%

Boilermakers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PUR -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)

KENT By 1-7 points

0.0%

KENT By 8-14 points

0.0%

PUR By 1-7 points

0.0%

PUR By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
42
KENT STATE
89
PURDUE
Simulated Score
65
KENT STATE
82
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Boilermakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Boilermakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Boilermakers (-25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim Boilermakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 29, 2025 KENT @ PUR 60 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.9% more
Purdue: 4.5 vs Kent State: 3.5
Assists (L5) +12.9% more
Purdue: 20.5 vs Kent State: 18.1
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Purdue: 81.4% vs Kent State: 76.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Purdue: 52.9% vs Kent State: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 42.0 60
PUR Score 89.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 34.9 39.0 / 26.0
Assists 20.5 / 18.1 25.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.5 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 52.9 / 48.6 56.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 76.1 89.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 41.1 40.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.3 / 7.8 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 16.0 8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
PUR Advantage
30-9-0 (76.9%)
Margin: 11.1 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
PUR Advantage
17-22-0 (43.6%)
Margin: 11.1 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PUR
KENT
PUR
KENT
ML
67% 26-13
53% 18-16
66% 25-13
65% 22-12
ATS
64% 25-14
65% 22-12
66% 25-13
65% 22-12
TTL
51% 20-19
44% 15-19
100% 38-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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