BENEDICTINE (AZ)
REDHAWKSBENU
0-0 | Road
60
NORTHERN ARIZONA
LUMBERJACKSNAU
5-7 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
LUMBERJACKS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
LUMBERJACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Northern Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAU -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAU)
BENU By 1-7 points
1.1%
BENU By 8-14 points
0.1%
NAU By 1-7 points
5.8%
NAU By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Benedictine (AZ)
71
BENEDICTINE (AZ)
Northern Arizona
93
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Benedictine (AZ)
62
BENEDICTINE (AZ)
Northern Arizona
80
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lumberjacks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lumberjacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lumberjacks (+30.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Lumberjacks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
BENU @ NAU
60 - 112
Dec 30, 2024
BENU @ NAU
74 - 110
Nov 15, 2022
BENU @ NAU
49 - 105
Nov 15, 2021
BENU @ NAU
48 - 97
Nov 20, 2019
BENU @ NAU
56 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.1% more
Northern Arizona: 2.5
vs
Benedictine (AZ): 1.6
Steals (L5)
+44.2% more
Northern Arizona: 6.5
vs
Benedictine (AZ): 4.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.2%
Northern Arizona: 46.0%
vs
Benedictine (AZ): 35.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Northern Arizona: 40.8%
vs
Benedictine (AZ): 36.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BENU Score
71.0
60
NAU Score
93.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 36.8
53.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.0 / 12.4
29.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.5 / 1.6
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 35.8
59.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
65.3 / 66.1
68.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 30.5
40.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.5 / 4.5
16.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 14.9
15.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BENU
--
NAU
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BENU
--
NAU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BENU
--
NAU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAU
BENU
NAU
BENU
ML
62%
20-12
100%
1-0
81%
26-6
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
20-12
100%
1-0
81%
26-6
100%
1-0
TTL
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0
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