SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
18-17-3 | Road
5
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
21-15-2 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Petr Mrazek
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 4.00 | 0.905 | -- |
| Petr Mrazek | None-None | 2.51 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
Ldr 2.51
0.905 Ldr
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
DUCKS
0%
SHARKS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
SJ By 1 goal
2.8%
SJ By 2-3 goals
1.2%
ANA By 1 goal
12.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Anaheim
5
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
SJ @ ANA
1 - 6
Apr 1, 2026
ANA @ SJ
3 - 4
Dec 29, 2025
SJ @ ANA
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
ANA @ SJ
7 - 6
Oct 1, 2025
ANA @ SJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.9% more
Anaheim: 35.6
vs
San Jose: 27.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.6% more
Anaheim: 14.6
vs
San Jose: 11.9
Takeaways (L5)
+19.5% more
San Jose: 6.0
vs
Anaheim: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
2.0
5
ANA Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 11.9
11.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
49.1 / 48.7
55.2 / 44.8
Hits
19.6 / 19.7
18.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
450.0 / 420.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
35.6 / 27.0
42.0 / 13.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 6.0
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
SJ
ANA
SJ
ML
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
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