NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
19-17-4 | Road
2
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
23-11-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.78 | 0.914 | -- |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 1.87 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.78
GAA
Ldr 1.87
0.914 Ldr
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
RANGERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
NYR By 1 goal
0.9%
NYR By 2-3 goals
0.3%
CAR By 1 goal
6.6%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
1
NEW YORK
Carolina
5
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
CAR @ NYR
2 - 0
Dec 29, 2025
NYR @ CAR
2 - 3
Nov 26, 2025
NYR @ CAR
4 - 2
Nov 4, 2025
CAR @ NYR
3 - 0
Apr 12, 2025
NYR @ CAR
3 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+70.1% more
Carolina: 6.6
vs
New York: 3.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+28.3% more
Carolina: 30.6
vs
New York: 23.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+43.9% more
New York: 16.8
vs
Carolina: 9.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.6%
New York: 57.3%
vs
Carolina: 49.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
1.0
2
CAR Score
5.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.4 / 16.8
11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.7 / 57.3
59.7 / 40.3
Hits
22.9 / 22.0
25.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
6.3 / 12.4
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.6 / 23.8
34.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 3.9
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NYR
CAR
NYR
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
TTL
0%
0-4
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
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