BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
20-18-1 | Road
1
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
16-18-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 1.94 | 0.950 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 0.97 | 0.962 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.94
GAA
Ldr 0.97
0.950
Save %
Ldr 0.962
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
FLAMES
0%
BRUINS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
CGY @ BOS
1 - 4
Dec 29, 2025
BOS @ CGY
1 - 2
Dec 17, 2024
BOS @ CGY
4 - 3
Nov 7, 2024
CGY @ BOS
3 - 4
Feb 22, 2024
BOS @ CGY
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.0% more
Calgary: 29.1
vs
Boston: 24.0
Takeaways (L5)
+10.4% more
Calgary: 5.2
vs
Boston: 4.7
Power Play % (L5)
+9.6%
Boston: 15.6%
vs
Calgary: 6.0%
Hits (L5)
+9.3% more
Boston: 26.1
vs
Calgary: 23.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
1
CGY Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 13.8
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
53.8 / 53.4
48.9 / 51.1
Hits
23.6 / 26.1
21.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
6.0 / 15.6
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.1 / 24.0
20.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 4.7
4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
BOS
CGY
BOS
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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