PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
15-12-9 | Road
7
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
14-17-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 3.02 | 0.875 | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 7.49 | 0.556 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.02 Ldr
GAA
7.49
0.875 Ldr
Save %
0.556
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
0%
PENGUINS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CHI By 1 goal
19.7%
CHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
1
PITTSBURGH
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
CHI @ PIT
2 - 6
Dec 28, 2025
PIT @ CHI
7 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
CHI @ PIT
0 - 5
Apr 6, 2025
PIT @ CHI
1 - 3
Feb 15, 2024
PIT @ CHI
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.9%
Chicago: 48.1%
vs
Pittsburgh: 46.3%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.4% more
Pittsburgh: 30.5
vs
Chicago: 25.5
Takeaways (L5)
+16.4% more
Pittsburgh: 5.2
vs
Chicago: 4.3
Power Play % (L5)
+13.5%
Pittsburgh: 14.8%
vs
Chicago: 1.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
1.0
7
CHI Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.1 / 10.8
4.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
48.1 / 46.3
46.6 / 53.4
Hits
21.5 / 21.8
26.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
1.4 / 14.8
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
25.5 / 30.5
24.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 5.2
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
PIT
CHI
PIT
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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