DETROIT
PISTONSDET
24-7 | Road
99
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
9-21 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
PISTONS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
DET By 1-7 points
16.9%
DET By 8-14 points
6.8%
LAC By 1-7 points
26.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
114
DETROIT
LA
120
LA
Simulated Score
Detroit
118
DETROIT
LA
107
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+4)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Pistons (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.5
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
LAC @ DET
98 - 92
Dec 28, 2025
DET @ LAC
99 - 112
Mar 5, 2025
DET @ LAC
115 - 123
Feb 24, 2025
LAC @ DET
97 - 106
Feb 10, 2024
DET @ LAC
106 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+19.5%
LA: 88.1%
vs
Detroit: 68.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
LA: 44.0%
vs
Detroit: 37.7%
Blocks (L5)
+41.1% more
Detroit: 8.0
vs
LA: 4.7
Steals (L5)
+35.2% more
Detroit: 10.9
vs
LA: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
114.0
99
LAC Score
120.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.0 / 37.7
41.0 / 24.0
Assists
23.0 / 32.7
18.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.7 / 8.0
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 49.3
47.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
88.1 / 68.6
97.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 45.9
35.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.1 / 10.9
12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 15.1
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DET
LAC
DET
ML
60%
59-40
55%
64-53
55%
45-37
49%
47-49
ATS
66%
65-33-1
53%
60-54-3
55%
45-37
49%
47-49
TTL
59%
58-40-1
60%
70-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
96-0
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