Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Georgia Tech @ BYU GT @ BYU

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

9-3  |  Road

21
FINAL
Sat, Dec 27 • 3:40 PM ET
Camping World Stadium
View Odds Details →

BYU

BYUBYU

11-2  |  Home

25
Key Game
Aidan Birr
KEY GAME

Aidan Birr

#33 | Place kicker
@
Maika Kaufusi
KEY GAME

Maika Kaufusi

#33 | Linebacker
Player
Aidan Birr None-None
Maika Kaufusi None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GEORGIA TECH
0%
📊
BYU
100%
GEORGIA TECH --
BYU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Georgia TechGT (-3.5) 0 BYUBYU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Georgia Tech Cover

93.3%

BYU Cover

6.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GT -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

GT By 1-6 points

7.9%

GT By 7-13 points

14.6%

BYU By 1-6 points

3.8%

BYU By 7-13 points

1.8%

AI Model Projected Score
31
GEORGIA TECH
10
BYU
Simulated Score
24
GEORGIA TECH
27
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Georgia Tech Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim BYU Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Georgia Tech (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
B
Sim BYU (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u54.5 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
B
Sim u54.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 27, 2025 GT @ BYU 21 - 25
Oct 12, 2013 GT @ BYU 20 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +19.0% more
Georgia Tech: 408.1 vs BYU: 330.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +12.0% more
Georgia Tech: 146.5 vs BYU: 128.9
First Downs (L5) +10.4% more
Georgia Tech: 21.6 vs BYU: 19.3
Turnovers (L5) +48.3% more
BYU: 1.7 vs Georgia Tech: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GT Score 31.0 21
BYU Score 10.0 25
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.3 / 21.6 26.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards 128.9 / 146.5 100.0 / 131.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 330.5 / 408.1 425.0 / 401.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 1.2 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
BYU Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 23.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
BYU Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 23.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
BYU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
GT
BYU
GT
ML
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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