OLD DOMINION
MONARCHSODU
4-9 | Road
58
MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
6-6 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
0%
TERRAPINS
100%
MONARCHS
--
TERRAPINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Old Dominion)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ODU -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)
ODU By 1-7 points
0.0%
ODU By 8-14 points
0.0%
MD By 1-7 points
0.0%
MD By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Old Dominion
101
OLD DOMINION
Maryland
51
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Old Dominion
65
OLD DOMINION
Maryland
72
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Monarchs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terrapins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Monarchs (-14.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Terrapins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 28, 2025
ODU @ MD
58 - 73
Nov 25, 2020
ODU @ MD
67 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.0% more
Old Dominion: 4.9
vs
Maryland: 4.1
Blocks (L5)
+15.9% more
Old Dominion: 3.6
vs
Maryland: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.2%
Old Dominion: 79.3%
vs
Maryland: 70.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+35.9% more
Maryland: 15.1
vs
Old Dominion: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ODU Score
101.0
58
MD Score
51.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 36.9
38.0 / 22.0
Assists
10.5 / 10.1
14.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.6
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 42.8
40.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 79.3
82.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 35.2
36.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.1 / 4.9
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 11.1
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
MD
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +3.0
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
ODU
MD
ODU
ML
70%
23-10
52%
17-16
67%
22-11
67%
22-11
ATS
64%
21-12
70%
23-10
67%
22-11
67%
22-11
TTL
64%
21-12
70%
23-10
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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