PACIFIC UNION
PACIFIC UNIONPUC
0-0 | Road
52
UC DAVIS
AGGIESUCD
6-5 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
PACIFIC UNION
100%
AGGIES
0%
PACIFIC UNION
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
UC DAVIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (UC Davis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCD -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCD)
PUC By 1-7 points
0.0%
PUC By 8-14 points
0.0%
UCD By 1-7 points
0.0%
UCD By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Pacific Union
54
PACIFIC UNION
UC Davis
101
UC DAVIS
Simulated Score
Pacific Union
50
PACIFIC UNION
UC Davis
95
UC DAVIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Aggies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Aggies (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 28, 2025
PUC @ UCD
52 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+149.0% more
UC Davis: 2.3
vs
Pacific Union: 0.8
Assists (L5)
+72.7% more
UC Davis: 15.2
vs
Pacific Union: 8.8
Rebounding (L5)
+41.8% more
UC Davis: 27.4
vs
Pacific Union: 19.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+39.0%
UC Davis: 79.6%
vs
Pacific Union: 40.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PUC Score
54.0
52
UCD Score
101.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 32.3
32.0 / 26.0
Assists
15.2 / 8.8
28.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.3 / 0.8
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 36.0
49.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 40.7
78.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
27.4 / 19.3
52.0 / 23.0
Steals
6.0 / 4.8
18.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 13.1
12.0 / 28.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PUC
--
UCD
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PUC
--
UCD
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PUC
--
UCD
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCD
PUC
UCD
PUC
ML
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
ATS
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
TTL
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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