Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cougars @ Pilots WSU @ PORT

WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

5-8  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sun, Dec 28 • 5:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

7-6  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
📊
PILOTS
100%
COUGARS --
PILOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Washington State)
CougarsWSU (-3.5) 0 PilotsPORT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

96.4%

Pilots Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WSU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

WSU By 1-7 points

10.7%

WSU By 8-14 points

21.6%

PORT By 1-7 points

2.7%

PORT By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
80
WASHINGTON STATE
62
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
78
WASHINGTON STATE
72
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Cougars (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 PORT @ WSU 74 - 68
Jan 31, 2026 PORT @ WSU 74 - 104
Dec 28, 2025 WSU @ PORT 67 - 62
Jan 18, 2025 PORT @ WSU 70 - 92
Dec 28, 2024 WSU @ PORT 89 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +16.6% more
Washington State: 7.2 vs Portland: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +10.6% more
Washington State: 3.6 vs Portland: 3.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.0%
Washington State: 38.7% vs Portland: 29.7%
Rebounding (L5) +8.4% more
Washington State: 35.8 vs Portland: 32.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 80.0 67
PORT Score 62.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 38.7 26.0 / 35.0
Assists 17.2 / 13.3 11.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 48.5 31.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 67.6 58.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 35.8 42.0 / 44.0
Steals 6.0 / 7.2 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 15.0 / 14.1 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
PORT Advantage
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
PORT
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PORT
WSU
PORT
WSU
ML
48% 16-17
78% 25-7
82% 27-6
69% 20-9
ATS
67% 22-11
78% 25-7
82% 28-6
69% 20-9
TTL
55% 18-15
62% 20-12
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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