CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
BUCCANEERSCHSO
8-6 | Road
77
RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
10-2 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
0%
SPIDERS
100%
BUCCANEERS
--
SPIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICH +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)
CHSO By 1-7 points
26.8%
CHSO By 8-14 points
18.6%
RICH By 1-7 points
23.0%
RICH By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
64
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Richmond
62
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
62
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Richmond
75
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spiders (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Spiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 28, 2025
CHSO @ RICH
77 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.2% more
Charleston Southern: 5.4
vs
Richmond: 3.0
Rebounding (L5)
+22.4% more
Charleston Southern: 44.6
vs
Richmond: 34.6
Assists (L5)
+16.1% more
Charleston Southern: 19.1
vs
Richmond: 16.0
Steals (L5)
+48.7% more
Richmond: 7.5
vs
Charleston Southern: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
64.0
77
RICH Score
62.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 35.9
39.0 / 27.0
Assists
16.0 / 19.1
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.0 / 5.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 46.2
34.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 69.1
86.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 44.6
39.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.0
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.4
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
RICH
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
CHSO
RICH
CHSO
ML
53%
17-15
43%
13-17
56%
18-14
67%
20-10
ATS
44%
14-18
50%
15-15
56%
18-14
68%
21-10
TTL
56%
18-14
50%
15-15
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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