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NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

9-3  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sun, Dec 28 • 3:00 PM ET
CU Events Center
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

10-2  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
📊
BUFFALOES
0%
BEARS --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Colorado)
BearsUNCO (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

1.4%

Buffaloes Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

UNCO By 1-7 points

1.1%

UNCO By 8-14 points

0.1%

COLO By 1-7 points

5.8%

COLO By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
80
NORTHERN COLORADO
102
COLORADO
Simulated Score
65
NORTHERN COLORADO
78
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buffaloes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes (-15.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Buffaloes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o158.5 Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 28, 2025 UNCO @ COLO 86 - 81
Nov 8, 2024 UNCO @ COLO 88 - 90
Dec 15, 2023 UNCO @ COLO 68 - 90
Dec 18, 2022 UNCO @ COLO 77 - 88
Dec 14, 2020 UNCO @ COLO 45 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +121.4% more
Colorado: 7.6 vs Northern Colorado: 3.5
Blocks (L5) +61.4% more
Colorado: 3.2 vs Northern Colorado: 2.0
Turnovers (L5) +26.2% more
Colorado: 12.9 vs Northern Colorado: 10.2
Free Throw % (L5) +21.3%
Colorado: 79.2% vs Northern Colorado: 57.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCO Score 80.0 86
COLO Score 102.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 34.5 30.0 / 52.0
Assists 15.9 / 15.3 11.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.0 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 51.9 39.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 57.9 93.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 35.7 37.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.6 / 3.5 5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 10.2 5.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
96%MONEY4%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCO Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCO Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
UNCO
COLO
UNCO
ML
61% 20-13
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
66% 21-11
ATS
73% 24-9
53% 17-15
69% 22-10
66% 21-11
TTL
45% 15-18
50% 16-16
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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