HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
6-7 | Road
78
COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
6-6 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
0%
RAIDERS
100%
CRIMSON
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HARV -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
HARV By 1-7 points
26.8%
HARV By 8-14 points
24.3%
COLG By 1-7 points
16.9%
COLG By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
68
HARVARD
Colgate
62
COLGATE
Simulated Score
Harvard
69
HARVARD
Colgate
72
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crimson
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Crimson (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 28, 2025
HARV @ COLG
78 - 69
Nov 22, 2024
COLG @ HARV
67 - 78
Nov 22, 2023
HARV @ COLG
76 - 70
Nov 24, 2021
COLG @ HARV
84 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+21.2%
Harvard: 78.8%
vs
Colgate: 57.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+14.1% more
Harvard: 12.2
vs
Colgate: 10.5
Steals (L5)
+11.4% more
Harvard: 6.9
vs
Colgate: 6.1
Blocks (L5)
+10.9% more
Harvard: 4.6
vs
Colgate: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
68.0
78
COLG Score
62.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.8 / 31.8
28.0 / 54.0
Assists
17.4 / 13.1
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.6
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 47.5
47.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
57.5 / 78.8
80.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 29.2
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.9
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 12.2
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
COLG
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
HARV
COLG
HARV
ML
59%
19-13
45%
13-16
69%
22-10
52%
15-14
ATS
72%
23-9
45%
13-16
70%
23-10
52%
15-14
TTL
78%
25-7
41%
12-17
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
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