NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
21-9 | Road
128
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
15-17 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
HAWKS
100%
KNICKS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
NY By 1-7 points
27.4%
NY By 8-14 points
21.6%
ATL By 1-7 points
20.1%
ATL By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
117
NEW YORK
Atlanta
113
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Atlanta
112
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u244.0
Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u244.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
NY @ ATL
140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026
ATL @ NY
97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026
NY @ ATL
114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026
NY @ ATL
108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026
ATL @ NY
107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.5% more
New York: 47.1
vs
Atlanta: 40.3
Steals (L5)
+8.0% more
New York: 7.8
vs
Atlanta: 7.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
New York: 42.3%
vs
Atlanta: 35.3%
Blocks (L5)
+24.5% more
Atlanta: 4.5
vs
New York: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
117.0
128
ATL Score
113.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 42.3
40.0 / 35.0
Assists
31.7 / 26.0
33.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 47.1
48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 76.6
81.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 47.1
37.0 / 55.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.8
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 14.9
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
NY
ATL
NY
ML
50%
52-52
61%
114-72
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
55-48-1
67%
124-62
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
TTL
53%
55-48-1
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0
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