PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
16-12 | Road
102
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
14-15 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
BULLS
0%
76ERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
199.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
13.7%
CHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
99
PHILADELPHIA
Chicago
100
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
108
PHILADELPHIA
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+1)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u241.0
Win
Proj Total: 199.0
D
Sim
u241.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
CHI @ PHI
137 - 157
Dec 26, 2025
PHI @ CHI
102 - 109
Nov 4, 2025
PHI @ CHI
111 - 113
Apr 13, 2025
CHI @ PHI
122 - 102
Feb 24, 2025
CHI @ PHI
142 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+62.5% more
Chicago: 34.4
vs
Philadelphia: 21.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.9%
Chicago: 51.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 42.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Chicago: 37.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 32.2%
Steals (L5)
+20.8% more
Philadelphia: 10.0
vs
Chicago: 7.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
99.0
102
CHI Score
100.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 32.2
34.0 / 28.0
Assists
34.4 / 21.2
31.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.1
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.9 / 42.1
44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
75.1 / 83.6
76.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
44.7 / 45.1
52.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.9 / 10.0
3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 13.2
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
PHI
CHI
PHI
ML
56%
54-42
63%
69-40
57%
46-35
48%
45-48
ATS
65%
62-33-1
65%
71-38
57%
46-35
48%
45-48
TTL
58%
56-40
55%
60-49
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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