LA
CLIPPERSLAC
8-21 | Road
119
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
12-18 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
27.4%
LAC By 8-14 points
21.6%
POR By 1-7 points
20.1%
POR By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
117
LA
Portland
113
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
LA
117
LA
Portland
112
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
LAC @ POR
97 - 116
Mar 31, 2026
POR @ LAC
114 - 104
Dec 26, 2025
LAC @ POR
119 - 103
Oct 26, 2025
POR @ LAC
107 - 114
Jan 16, 2025
LAC @ POR
118 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
LA: 85.1%
vs
Portland: 73.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.8%
LA: 41.0%
vs
Portland: 30.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
LA: 49.1%
vs
Portland: 45.8%
Blocks (L5)
+26.1% more
Portland: 5.8
vs
LA: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
117.0
119
POR Score
113.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.2 / 41.0
41.0 / 50.0
Assists
23.1 / 24.0
23.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.6
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 49.1
45.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 85.1
68.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
43.2 / 40.3
43.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.6
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
18.5 / 16.5
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
LAC
POR
LAC
ML
53%
56-49
60%
59-40
55%
49-40
55%
45-37
ATS
62%
65-39-1
66%
65-33-1
55%
49-40
55%
45-37
TTL
56%
58-46-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
89-0
100%
82-0
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