DETROIT
PISTONSDET
24-6 | Road
129
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
10-19 | Home
131
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
JAZZ
0%
PISTONS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
DET By 1-7 points
21.6%
DET By 8-14 points
10.7%
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
116
DETROIT
Utah
119
UTAH
Simulated Score
Detroit
108
DETROIT
Utah
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u245.0
Loss
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u245.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 26, 2025
DET @ UTAH
129 - 131
Nov 5, 2025
UTAH @ DET
103 - 114
Mar 3, 2025
DET @ UTAH
134 - 106
Dec 19, 2024
UTAH @ DET
126 - 119
Jan 3, 2024
DET @ UTAH
148 - 154
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.6%
Utah: 82.1%
vs
Detroit: 70.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Utah: 36.8%
vs
Detroit: 32.0%
Blocks (L5)
+72.3% more
Detroit: 7.1
vs
Utah: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+35.9% more
Detroit: 10.9
vs
Utah: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
116.0
129
UTAH Score
119.0
131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 32.0
47.0 / 49.0
Assists
30.5 / 30.0
35.0 / 38.0
Blocks
2.0 / 7.1
8.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 47.9
49.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
82.1 / 70.4
96.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 48.3
42.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.0 / 10.9
12.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 14.2
18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
DET
UTAH
DET
ML
60%
96-63
55%
64-53
48%
40-43
49%
47-49
ATS
68%
108-51
53%
60-54-3
48%
40-43
49%
47-49
TTL
75%
119-39-1
60%
70-46-1
100%
83-0
100%
96-0
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