CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
10-20 | Road
120
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
17-13 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
MAGIC
0%
HORNETS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CHA By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
13.7%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.2%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
101
CHARLOTTE
Orlando
102
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 17, 2026
CHA @ ORL
90 - 121
Mar 19, 2026
ORL @ CHA
111 - 130
Jan 22, 2026
CHA @ ORL
124 - 97
Dec 26, 2025
CHA @ ORL
120 - 105
Oct 30, 2025
ORL @ CHA
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+10.9% more
Orlando: 8.4
vs
Charlotte: 7.6
Blocks (L5)
+10.3% more
Orlando: 5.6
vs
Charlotte: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+13.1% more
Charlotte: 30.3
vs
Orlando: 26.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Charlotte: 41.3%
vs
Orlando: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
101.0
120
ORL Score
102.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 41.3
31.0 / 49.0
Assists
26.4 / 30.3
22.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.6 / 5.0
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 45.0
40.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 78.4
87.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 45.6
42.0 / 53.0
Steals
8.4 / 7.6
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 14.3
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CHA
ORL
CHA
ML
61%
65-42
61%
60-39
56%
51-40
48%
40-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
60%
59-40
56%
51-40
48%
40-44
TTL
57%
61-46
58%
57-42
100%
91-0
100%
84-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up