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SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

17-17-3  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Dec 27 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

15-18-3  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
@
Thatcher Demko
GOALTENDER

Thatcher Demko

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 3.00 0.889 --
Thatcher Demko None-None 5.01 0.889 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 5.01
0.889 Save % 0.889
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
CANUCKS
0%
SHARKS --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Vancouver)
SharksSJ (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

6.7%

Canucks Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

SJ By 1 goal

2.8%

SJ By 2-3 goals

1.2%

VAN By 1 goal

12.1%

VAN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
SAN JOSE
4
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
2
SAN JOSE
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canucks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canucks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canucks (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Canucks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 11, 2026 VAN @ SJ 4 - 3
Jan 27, 2026 SJ @ VAN 5 - 2
Dec 27, 2025 SJ @ VAN 6 - 3
Nov 28, 2025 VAN @ SJ 2 - 3
Apr 14, 2025 SJ @ VAN 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +26.9% more
Vancouver: 15.1 vs San Jose: 11.9
Faceoff % (L5) +5.9%
Vancouver: 54.6% vs San Jose: 48.7%
Power Play % (L5) +5.5%
Vancouver: 9.7% vs San Jose: 4.2%
Takeaways (L5) +23.6% more
San Jose: 5.5 vs Vancouver: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 1.0 6
VAN Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
65%MONEY35%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
SJ
VAN
SJ
ML
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
ATS
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
TTL
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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