CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
13-17-6 | Road
4
DALLAS
STARSDAL
25-7-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 2.77 | 0.903 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.77 | 0.909 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77
GAA
2.77
0.903
Save %
Ldr 0.909
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
0%
STARS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CHI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1 goal
12.1%
CHI By 2-3 goals
37.2%
DAL By 1 goal
2.8%
DAL By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Dallas
1
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
CHI @ DAL
3 - 4
Jan 1, 2026
DAL @ CHI
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
CHI @ DAL
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2024
DAL @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
DAL @ CHI
2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+16.6% more
Chicago: 17.8
vs
Dallas: 14.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.0%
Chicago: 50.6%
vs
Dallas: 47.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+40.1% more
Dallas: 4.9
vs
Chicago: 3.5
Power Play % (L5)
+29.9%
Dallas: 32.0%
vs
Chicago: 2.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
4.0
4
DAL Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.0 / 10.1
14.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
47.6 / 50.6
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
14.9 / 17.8
16.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
3196.0 / 207.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.9 / 21.7
31.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 3.5
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
CHI
DAL
CHI
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1-1
Contextual Game News
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Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…