NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
19-16-4 | Road
0
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
20-13-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
👤
GOALTENDER
Marshall Warren
#41 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 1.03 | 0.960 | -- |
| Marshall Warren | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.03
GAA
--
0.960
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
RANGERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
17.5%
NYR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
NYI By 1 goal
6.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
New York
2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
NYR @ NYI
2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025
NYR @ NYI
0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025
NYI @ NYR
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.6% more
New York: 16.7
vs
New York: 14.6
Power Play % (L5)
+8.9%
New York: 18.7%
vs
New York: 9.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.8%
New York: 57.0%
vs
New York: 48.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+39.0% more
New York: 5.3
vs
New York: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
4.0
0
NYI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 16.7
19.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 57.0
42.1 / 57.9
Hits
23.0 / 20.9
14.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
976.0 / 1866.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.1 / 22.2
26.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 3.8
9.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
NYR
NYI
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List