BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
20-17-1 | Road
1
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
18-14-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mason Lohrei
#6 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Lohrei | 14-10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 1.00 | 0.957 | -- |
14-10
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.957
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
SABRES
100%
BRUINS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BUF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
BUF By 1 goal
12.1%
BUF By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 1, 2026
BUF @ BOS
4 - 1
Apr 28, 2026
BOS @ BUF
2 - 1
Apr 26, 2026
BUF @ BOS
6 - 1
Apr 23, 2026
BUF @ BOS
3 - 1
Apr 21, 2026
BOS @ BUF
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+31.1% more
Boston: 25.6
vs
Buffalo: 17.6
Power Play % (L5)
+14.6%
Boston: 23.4%
vs
Buffalo: 8.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.8%
Boston: 51.3%
vs
Buffalo: 43.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.0% more
Buffalo: 17.6
vs
Boston: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
1
BUF Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.6 / 14.7
13.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
43.5 / 51.3
42.3 / 57.7
Hits
17.6 / 25.6
18.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
883.0 / 2340.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 25.0
34.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 5.1
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
BOS
BUF
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
TTL
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
Contextual Game News
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Kaprizov's Two Goals Propel Wild Past Bruins 4-1
Wild Aim to Stay Perfect at Home Against Bruins; Newcomers Shine…
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener