DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
22-13-3 | Road
2
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
22-11-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | None-None | 4.19 | 0.892 | -- |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 2.00 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.19
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.892
Save %
Ldr 0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
RED WINGS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
DET @ CAR
2 - 5
Jan 12, 2026
CAR @ DET
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
DET @ CAR
2 - 5
Apr 4, 2025
CAR @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 14, 2025
DET @ CAR
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+62.5% more
Carolina: 23.3
vs
Detroit: 14.4
Takeaways (L5)
+10.7% more
Carolina: 5.9
vs
Detroit: 5.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.5%
Carolina: 53.0%
vs
Detroit: 50.6%
Power Play % (L5)
+40.6%
Detroit: 50.0%
vs
Carolina: 9.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
2
CAR Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.1 / 17.3
6.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
53.0 / 50.6
43.1 / 56.9
Hits
23.3 / 14.4
22.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
9.4 / 50.0
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 25.9
38.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 5.3
8.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
DET
CAR
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
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