CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
17-14 | Road
124
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
20-9 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
KNICKS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
16.9%
NY By 1-7 points
24.3%
NY By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
New York
111
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Cleveland
108
CLEVELAND
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u242.0
Loss
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u242.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 25, 2026
NY @ CLE
130 - 93
May 23, 2026
NY @ CLE
121 - 108
May 21, 2026
CLE @ NY
93 - 109
May 19, 2026
CLE @ NY
104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026
NY @ CLE
94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.7% more
Cleveland: 33.6
vs
New York: 24.9
Steals (L5)
+15.6% more
Cleveland: 8.6
vs
New York: 7.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
Cleveland: 85.7%
vs
New York: 76.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Cleveland: 50.1%
vs
New York: 47.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
112.0
124
NY Score
111.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 40.2
48.0 / 44.0
Assists
24.9 / 33.6
28.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.6
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 50.1
47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 85.7
77.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
49.2 / 43.4
43.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.3 / 8.6
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 13.7
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CLE
NY
CLE
ML
61%
114-72
60%
69-46
56%
57-45
56%
55-44
ATS
67%
124-62
67%
75-37-3
56%
57-45
56%
55-44
TTL
72%
133-53
59%
68-47
100%
102-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
Walt Frazier Dubs Anthony Davis 'Street Clothes' as Wizards Debu…
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…