MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
13-16 | Road
137
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
10-18 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
JAZZ
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
MEM By 1-7 points
20.1%
MEM By 8-14 points
9.3%
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.4%
UTAH By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
113
MEMPHIS
Utah
117
UTAH
Simulated Score
Memphis
112
MEMPHIS
Utah
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+4)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u243.5
Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u243.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
MEM @ UTAH
101 - 147
Feb 20, 2026
UTAH @ MEM
114 - 123
Dec 23, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
137 - 128
Dec 12, 2025
UTAH @ MEM
130 - 126
Mar 25, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
140 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+11.2% more
Utah: 31.2
vs
Memphis: 28.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.9%
Utah: 78.6%
vs
Memphis: 76.7%
Blocks (L5)
+58.0% more
Memphis: 4.6
vs
Utah: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+28.5% more
Memphis: 8.3
vs
Utah: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
113.0
137
UTAH Score
117.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 39.0
36.0 / 42.0
Assists
31.2 / 28.1
29.0 / 41.0
Blocks
1.9 / 4.6
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 44.8
44.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 76.7
89.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 46.8
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.9 / 8.3
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 17.6
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MEM
UTAH
MEM
ML
60%
96-63
57%
59-44
48%
40-43
50%
41-41
ATS
68%
108-51
63%
65-38
48%
40-43
50%
41-41
TTL
75%
119-39-1
70%
71-31-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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