HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
6-6 | Road
59
ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
7-4 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
100%
RED STORM
0%
CRIMSON
--
RED STORM
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
ST. JOHN'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (St. John's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SJU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJU)
HARV By 1-7 points
21.6%
HARV By 8-14 points
10.7%
SJU By 1-7 points
27.2%
SJU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
73
HARVARD
St. John's
76
ST. JOHN'S
Simulated Score
Harvard
65
HARVARD
St. John's
78
ST. JOHN'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Storm
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm (+26.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Red Storm (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.0
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u147.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
HARV @ SJU
59 - 85
Nov 30, 2024
HARV @ SJU
64 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.2% more
St. John's: 6.2
vs
Harvard: 3.9
Steals (L5)
+28.5% more
St. John's: 8.8
vs
Harvard: 6.9
Turnovers (L5)
+20.1% more
St. John's: 13.1
vs
Harvard: 10.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
St. John's: 79.8%
vs
Harvard: 77.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
73.0
59
SJU Score
76.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 37.8
39.0 / 20.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.1
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
6.2 / 3.9
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 49.7
50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 77.1
78.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 32.9
39.0 / 22.0
Steals
8.8 / 6.9
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 10.9
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJU
HARV
SJU
HARV
ML
62%
18-11
45%
13-16
62%
18-11
52%
15-14
ATS
66%
19-10
45%
13-16
62%
18-11
52%
15-14
TTL
59%
17-12
41%
12-17
100%
29-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
Alabama's Keelon Russell Silences Doubters with Explosive Perfor…
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 Big East Schedule Released: Key M…
SEC Opener Showdown: Kentucky Hosts Alabama in Week 2 Clash
Why Kalen DeBoer's Alabama Tenure Is Raising Eyebrows Despite Co…