VILLANOVA
WILDCATSVILL
9-2 | Road
64
SETON HALL
PIRATESHALL
11-1 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
PIRATES
0%
WILDCATS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-87.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +87.0 points (Seton Hall)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HALL -87.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
VILL By 1-7 points
0.0%
VILL By 8-14 points
0.0%
HALL By 1-7 points
0.0%
HALL By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Villanova
37
VILLANOVA
Seton Hall
124
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
Villanova
69
VILLANOVA
Seton Hall
74
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -87.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
HALL @ VILL
60 - 72
Dec 23, 2025
VILL @ HALL
64 - 56
Mar 12, 2025
HALL @ VILL
55 - 67
Feb 26, 2025
VILL @ HALL
59 - 54
Dec 17, 2024
HALL @ VILL
67 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+52.4% more
Seton Hall: 11.7
vs
Villanova: 7.7
Turnovers (L5)
+47.5% more
Seton Hall: 12.5
vs
Villanova: 8.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Seton Hall: 72.3%
vs
Villanova: 69.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Seton Hall: 47.7%
vs
Villanova: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VILL Score
37.0
64
HALL Score
124.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 36.5
23.0 / 43.0
Assists
15.9 / 15.7
10.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.8
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 44.9
33.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 69.1
69.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 35.6
35.0 / 38.0
Steals
11.7 / 7.7
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 8.5
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VILL
Advantage
24-9-0
(72.7%)
Margin: 5.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
HALL
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VILL
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
HALL
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +1.7
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
VILL
HALL
VILL
ML
41%
13-19
44%
14-18
60%
18-12
72%
23-9
ATS
50%
16-16
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
72%
23-9
TTL
53%
17-15
41%
13-19
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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