IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
8-4 | Road
63
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
ROADRUNNERSCSUB
5-8 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
100%
ROADRUNNERS
0%
VANDALS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Cal State Bakersfield)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUB -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUB)
IDHO By 1-7 points
2.7%
IDHO By 8-14 points
0.5%
CSUB By 1-7 points
10.7%
CSUB By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho
44
IDAHO
Cal State Bakersfield
62
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Simulated Score
Idaho
68
IDAHO
Cal State Bakersfield
72
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Roadrunners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Roadrunners (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
IDHO @ CSUB
63 - 64
Nov 16, 2022
CSUB @ IDHO
52 - 43
Dec 11, 2021
IDHO @ CSUB
58 - 59
Dec 12, 2020
IDHO @ CSUB
66 - 76
Dec 14, 2019
CSUB @ IDHO
70 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+175.7% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 6.5
vs
Idaho: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+59.4% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 10.3
vs
Idaho: 6.5
Turnovers (L5)
+23.4% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 14.1
vs
Idaho: 11.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Cal State Bakersfield: 45.9%
vs
Idaho: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score
44.0
63
CSUB Score
62.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 41.7
33.0 / 28.0
Assists
10.5 / 16.6
10.0 / 9.0
Blocks
6.5 / 2.4
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 43.9
48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
81.0 / 79.8
38.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 41.2
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
10.3 / 6.5
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 11.4
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
CSUB
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
CSUB
11-18-1
(37.9%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUB
IDHO
CSUB
IDHO
ML
55%
17-14
56%
20-16
71%
22-9
64%
21-12
ATS
61%
19-12
58%
21-15
71%
22-9
64%
21-12
TTL
58%
18-13
69%
25-11
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
