Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Trail Blazers ORL @ POR

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

16-13  |  Road

110
FINAL
Tue, Dec 23 • 10:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

12-17  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
MAGIC --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
201.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

46.0%

Trail Blazers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around POR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

ORL By 1-7 points

26.2%

ORL By 8-14 points

16.9%

POR By 1-7 points

24.3%

POR By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
101
ORLANDO
100
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
105
ORLANDO
112
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers (+2) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u232.5 Win
Proj Total: 201.0
D
Sim u232.5 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 23, 2025 ORL @ POR 110 - 106
Nov 10, 2025 POR @ ORL 112 - 115
Jan 30, 2025 ORL @ POR 90 - 119
Jan 23, 2025 POR @ ORL 101 - 79
Apr 1, 2024 POR @ ORL 103 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
Orlando: 26.5 vs Portland: 23.2
Blocks (L5) +11.0% more
Orlando: 5.8 vs Portland: 5.2
Rebounding (L5) +10.4% more
Orlando: 47.2 vs Portland: 42.3
Turnovers (L5) +33.3% more
Portland: 19.3 vs Orlando: 14.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 101.0 110
POR Score 100.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 30.5 28.0 / 45.0
Assists 23.2 / 26.5 23.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.2 / 5.8 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 45.1 47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 71.0 79.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 42.3 / 47.2 45.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.8 / 7.6 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 19.3 / 14.4 17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
ORL
POR
ORL
ML
53% 56-49
61% 65-42
55% 49-40
56% 51-40
ATS
62% 65-39-1
64% 68-38-1
55% 49-40
56% 51-40
TTL
56% 58-46-1
57% 61-46
100% 89-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
dallasnews 37 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 53 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 6 hours, 44 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 6 hours, 47 minutes ago
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
headtopics 19 hours ago