Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pistons @ Kings DET @ SAC

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

23-6  |  Road

136
FINAL
Tue, Dec 23 • 10:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

7-22  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
📊
KINGS
0%
PISTONS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Sacramento)
PistonsDET (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

42.1%

Kings Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

DET By 1-7 points

23.0%

DET By 8-14 points

12.2%

SAC By 1-7 points

26.8%

SAC By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
112
DETROIT
114
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
106
DETROIT
118
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+9) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u227.5 Loss
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim u227.5 Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 25, 2026 SAC @ DET 116 - 139
Dec 23, 2025 DET @ SAC 136 - 127
Apr 7, 2025 SAC @ DET 127 - 117
Dec 26, 2024 DET @ SAC 114 - 113
Feb 7, 2024 DET @ SAC 133 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +9.4% more
Sacramento: 15.1 vs Detroit: 13.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.2%
Sacramento: 32.2% vs Detroit: 26.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.5%
Sacramento: 72.7% vs Detroit: 70.2%
Steals (L5) +15.3% more
Detroit: 11.8 vs Sacramento: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 112.0 136
SAC Score 114.0 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 26.1 33.0 / 44.0
Assists 24.8 / 26.1 26.0 / 38.0
Blocks 5.9 / 6.6 5.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 44.8 46.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 70.2 86.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 47.4 / 51.5 42.0 / 42.0
Steals 10.0 / 11.8 12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 13.8 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
DET
SAC
DET
ML
55% 55-45
55% 64-53
61% 50-32
49% 47-49
ATS
54% 52-45-3
53% 60-54-3
61% 50-32
49% 47-49
TTL
58% 57-42-1
60% 70-46-1
100% 82-0
100% 96-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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