WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
5-22 | Road
109
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
9-20 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
0%
HORNETS
100%
WIZARDS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
WSH By 1-7 points
27.4%
WSH By 8-14 points
21.6%
CHA By 1-7 points
20.1%
CHA By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
105
WASHINGTON
Charlotte
101
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Washington
112
WASHINGTON
Charlotte
115
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wizards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u238.5
Win
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Sim
u238.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
CHA @ WSH
129 - 112
Jan 24, 2026
WSH @ CHA
115 - 119
Dec 23, 2025
WSH @ CHA
109 - 126
Oct 26, 2025
CHA @ WSH
139 - 113
Mar 1, 2025
WSH @ CHA
113 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+12.1% more
Washington: 5.2
vs
Charlotte: 4.6
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Washington: 46.8
vs
Charlotte: 43.0
Turnovers (L5)
+71.6% more
Charlotte: 18.9
vs
Washington: 11.0
Steals (L5)
+65.1% more
Charlotte: 9.9
vs
Washington: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
105.0
109
CHA Score
101.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.0 / 31.1
40.0 / 29.0
Assists
28.0 / 25.2
35.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.6 / 5.2
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 44.9
45.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.2 / 72.7
81.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 46.8
51.0 / 49.0
Steals
9.9 / 6.0
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
18.9 / 11.0
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
WSH
CHA
WSH
ML
61%
60-39
70%
112-49
48%
40-44
47%
39-44
ATS
60%
59-40
69%
111-49-1
48%
40-44
47%
39-44
TTL
58%
57-42
74%
119-41-1
100%
84-0
100%
83-0
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